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BLOG: How's the Severna Park Real Estate Market?

Check out the positive signs in the Severna Park real estate market. Is it the right time to buy? Is is the right time to sell?

Spring has come early this year, and there are some encouraging signs happening in the Severna Park real estate market right now. Perhaps the most striking statistic is the average days on market in February 2012 was 93 days compared to 184 days in February 2011. 

Additionally the number of pending home sales in Feb 2012 clocks in at 50 whereas last February there was only 37 pending sales.  Twenty one Severna Park properties were sold in Feb '12, slightly higher than the 18 last February and way higher than the 10 sales in Feb '10. 

Another encouraging statistic is the average sold to list price ratio which was 92.6% this February versus  90.8% in Feb '11.  It seems as though we are indeed heading in a positive direction. 

The question then becomes can we sustain this momentum?      

In my own real estate office, we are experiencing a significant increase of calls coming in both from buyers inquiring about properties as well as sellers looking for market analyses prior to listing their properties. 

There are several possible explanations for this positive activity ranging from upbeat economic news, to the fact that interest rates have slightly increased recently motivating buyers to get off the fence and take advantage of the historic low rates. 

Additionally, many sellers have lived with this challenging market for several years and are now more willing to price their homes closer to current market value.  Whatever the reasons are - lets hope the trend continues!

Patrick Mondor April 9, 2012 at 08:10 pm
Liz,
All of this still translates into an unmitigated disaster for those that bought into the height of the market in 2005-2006. I moved to Severna Park back in 2005 and plunked down 25% of the cost of the house. I put an additional $100,000 in improvements. Today, all of it is gone. Then top it off with Zillow telling me month after month my home value continues to decline, despite announcements from pundits that indeed the market is coming back. Now I plan on living here for quite some time and it is my home...so to me all of this is white noise. However, when you are told that home ownership is the biggest "investment" of your life it appears I don't invest my money very well.
Liz Montaner April 9, 2012 at 11:31 pm
There's no doubt that if you bought at the peak of the sellers market in'05 you may well have to wait awhile before you see the break even point. But it also depends where you bought. The old rule of real estate still applies today - location, location, location. If you paid a premium and bought in a sought after water privileged community your wait time may be a lot shorter . In my own community, we passed the bottom about a year and half ago.
Patrick Mondor April 10, 2012 at 01:45 pm
Indeed paid a premium in a community with two Marina's and a community pool/clubhouse (Very well known/respected community here in SP). Looking at the Zillow chart is like riding a roller coaster. Started crashing in Jan '06...finally started going up in Dec '07...to crash yet again. Started to climb in again Dec '11...but is now down yet again. Doesn't seem like a very robust recovery to me.
DioDingo April 10, 2012 at 07:00 pm
First: I was told by a real estate agent that Zillow was around 6months or more behind the times. I don't know if that is true but take that for what its worth.
Second: You only made a bad investment if you try to sell now and lose all that money. If you planned on flipping the house after putting 100k into it then, yes maybe house flipping isn't the best thing for you. On the good side, you have a great house in a nice place to live in for 10 years then you can sell for a tidy profit!
Liz Montaner April 11, 2012 at 01:16 pm
Zillow does not provide a full explanation of how it calculates its zestimate formula, however, we know it is primarily based on tax assessments which we also know are often not very accurate. To a lesser extent, comprable properties are also incorporated into Zillow's formula thus the rise and fall in value depending on what is happening around the subject property. To get a more accurate zestimate, a homeowner can edit the specific home facts of their property but the often the impact is minor. A more accurate valuation is a Comparative Market Analysis prepared by a professional Realtor which provides detailed data on active, under contract and most importantly sold comprable properties in the immediate surrounding area of the subject property. The most accurate valuation, of course, is prepared by professional appraiser.
DioDingo April 13, 2012 at 09:03 pm
The last time I had a house for sale the agent gave me the price per square foot. So if the house was large it was worth more then a house with higher quality interiors. The quality of the home mattered not as much as the size. When were were pricing the house the Price/Sft seemed the driving factor.
John Thomas April 21, 2012 at 03:23 pm
Patrick: why did you choose to put in $100k in additional improvements? was that really necessary ?
Liz Montaner April 24, 2012 at 11:58 am
The value of a home is best described as "what one buyer will pay one moment in time" as it is constantly fluctuating due to variety of factors. Buyers, as well as appraisers, use a lot of information to determine value including price per square foot especially for above ground finished square footage. It is not the end-all-be-all number but it does add a significant piece to the valuation puzzle. It is also important to keep in mind what is important to one buyer may not be as important to another buyer.

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